The original research reflected a 5% likelihood of portfolio ruin. In 2026, today's reports now reflect a 10% likelihood of portfolio ruin. It has not gotten easier, in fact it has become much more difficult.

While the 4% rule is a widely accepted guideline for a safe withdrawal rate, our latest research indicates that retirees can withdraw as much as 3.9% in 2026—though they may be able to withdraw more depending on their strategies and spending/ending ratios.
So how can investors determine the right approach for their retirement goals?
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KEY TAKEAWAYS
Reinventment: redefining retirement, reinventing life.
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